New public opinion data from the Angus Reid Institute provides the first detailed look at Canadian political dynamics following last week’s memorandum of understanding on a potential Alberta-to-B.C. pipeline. Despite losing a cabinet minister who opposed the MOU, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s approval rating remains steady nationally and in B.C. at 52 percent. In Alberta, his approval rises three points to 45 percent.
Among Conservative voters, support for Carney has increased. About 24 percent of Pierre Poilievre supporters now approve of the prime minister, up six points from early November. This gain is offset by slight declines among other party supporters, including Liberals (-3 to 85%), NDP (-7 to 54%), and Bloc Québécois (-14 to 37%).
Federal voting intentions remain tight. Nationally, 40 percent of respondents would vote Liberal and 37 percent Conservative, while the NDP and Bloc stand at 10 percent and nine percent respectively. Regional dynamics show more notable changes. In B.C., Liberal support has fallen five points, with voters shifting to the right and left, boosting Conservative support to 43 percent and the Green Party to six percent. In Alberta, higher approval for Carney has not translated into increased Liberal support, with the Conservatives leading 54 to 27 percent.
The poll offers a comprehensive snapshot of public opinion as the federal government prepares for potential negotiations and public debate over the pipeline.
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